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Tuesday, November 3, 2026 • Economic data, rates and monthly market context
Real GDP is running at 3.4% annualized. Core PCE inflation is 3.1% year over year. Unemployment is 4.2%. On rates, the 10Y–2Y curve is positively sloped and the effective fed funds rate is 3.88%.
The current edition is awaiting editorial review. The verified data and calculations below remain available.
USD per barrel • 2026-10
Change from prior month: +4.07 USD per barrel
Cushing spot price; monthly average, not a futures or total-return series.
Source: EIA via FREDIndex, Jan 2006 = 100 • 2026-10
Change from prior month: +2.26 Index, Jan 2006 = 100
Monthly average of the nominal goods-and-services index; distinct from ICE DXY.
Source: Federal Reserve Board via FREDUSD per troy ounce • 2026-09
Change from prior month: -92.00 USD per troy ounce
Monthly averages in USD per troy ounce. From June 2025, the source uses daily spot prices; earlier values use the London afternoon fixing for UK gold of 99.5% fineness. Comparisons across June 2025 span a source methodology change. Historical release vintages are unavailable.
Source: The World Bank: Commodity Price Data (The Pink Sheet): Prospects Group • CC BY 4.0These monthly prices and index levels provide historical context. They are not live quotes or investment total returns.
Real GDP is still expanding at a solid pace.
Underlying inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target.
Payrolls changed by +29k in the latest month.
Oct 30, 2026 • daily observation. The 10Y–2Y spread is +0.38 pp, positively sloped.
Upward sloping • Broadly stable
Open the indicator library, inspect the yield curve, or test a relationship in Research Lab.
As of Nov 3, 2026, 2:35 PM EST. The brief is refreshed from stored observations on a scheduled cadence. Economic data can be revised. Statistical context and AI interpretation are informational and are not investment advice.